KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Cardi B 82.3%In testa tra 15 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
43,5 €
Liquidità
1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
1 set 26, 15:45 UTC28 set 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWill Conan O’Brien host the Academy Awards (Oscars) for a third consecutive year (2027)?
Manifold MarketsWill Lex Friedman host a podcast from space before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsZohran Mamdani SNL Host before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome is a host at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ABCFox NewsVogueMSNBCBBCReutersVMACNNBillboardNBCthe Associated PressCBSThe New York TimesBloomberg News
- To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event.
- Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify.
- Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count.
- The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format.
- Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role.
Mercati aperti
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
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- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host?
- Kalshi quota Cardi B al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host?
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host dovrebbe risolversi il 28 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome is a host at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.