
Dati al 27 ott 2026, 18:42 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
Profondità di mercato · Before 2034
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the loser get 228 or more electoral votes in the 2028 election?
How many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2028? [overlapping ranges]
When will be the next year that a presidential candidate gets at least 500 electoral votes?
In the 2028 presidential election will at least one state assign its electoral votes based on the national popular vote?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Regole
If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2034, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 203…
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