When will be the next year that a presidential candidate gets at least 500 electoral votes?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Before 2040 20.8%In testa tra 8 esiti
Before 2040 20.8%Previsori
4
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto30 gen 24, 15:06 UTC1 gen 01, 05:59 UTC
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Resolves to the next year that a single POTUS candidate gets at least 500 votes in the Electoral College.
- Faithless electors could affect this (i.e., if the candidate wins 500 votes in the election, but then one of their electors votes for someone else, it doesn't count).
- If the years in which elections occur change so that it happens in between these ranges, I resolve to whichever year it is closest to.
