Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezione2a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Pete Buttigieg · —
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Prezzo registrato
Pete Buttigieg 30.5%In testa tra 10 esiti
Pete Buttigieg 30.5%Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
639,7 €
Open interest
56,2K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
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Pete ButtigiegSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 26 minuti fa
16 set 25, 21:00 UTC7 nov 28, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
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- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Pete Buttigieg
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
KalshiWho will announce Presidential run before 2027?
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PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run?
KalshiRegole
If Pete Buttigieg is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:personthe Federal Election CommissionBallotpediaThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalPoliticoAxiosCNNABCCBSFox NewsMSNBCNBCofficial campaign websites or social media accounts of declared candidates
- A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
Regole per ogni esito
- Pete Buttigieg
- If Pete Buttigieg is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Andy Beshear
- If Andy Beshear is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom
- If Gavin Newsom is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Josh Shapiro
- If Josh Shapiro is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kamala Harris
- If Kamala Harris is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- J.B. Pritzker
- If J.B. Pritzker is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jon Ossoff
- If Jon Ossoff is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wes Moore
- If Wes Moore is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gretchen Whitmer
- If Gretchen Whitmer is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.