Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)

One-OffPolitica US Politics Elezione2a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Rahm Emanuel 77%

In testa tra 33 esiti

Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

4,4K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

20.0% / 25.0%

Spread

5.0 pt

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 14 minuti fa

21 mag 26, 21:001 nov 28, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Gavin Newsom23%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If Gavin Newsom is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

This list is fixed and no new strikes will be added.
A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office.
The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance.
Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify.
The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.

Trend del volume

$79

2 lug17g di dati23 lug

Mercati Correlati

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

94 €

Wes Moore: 3%

KALSHI

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

369,5K €

Haley Stevens: 15%

KALSHI

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

115,5K €

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%

POLYMARKET

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

41,9K €

Nicolás Maduro: 82%

POLYMARKET

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

82,8K €

Gadi Eizenkot: 52%

POLYMARKET

California Governor winner? (Person)

58,7K €

Steve Hilton: 4%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,138.36+1.04%

EthereumETH$1,896.58+0.26%

SolanaSOL$73.36-0.47%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0702-0.03%

XRPXRP$1.07+1.63%

BNBBNB$569.29-0.11%

Notizie Correlate

Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Regole

This list is fixed and no new strikes will be added.
A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office.
The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance.
Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify.
The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)

One-OffPolitica US Politics Elezione2a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Rahm Emanuel 77%

In testa tra 33 esiti

Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

4,4K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

20.0% / 25.0%

Spread

5.0 pt

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 14 minuti fa

21 mag 26, 21:001 nov 28, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Gavin Newsom23%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This list is fixed and no new strikes will be added.
A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office.
The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance.
Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify.
The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.

Trend del volume

$79

2 lug17g di dati23 lug

Mercati Correlati

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

94 €

Wes Moore: 3%

KALSHI

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

369,5K €

Haley Stevens: 15%

KALSHI

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

115,5K €

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%

POLYMARKET

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

41,9K €

Nicolás Maduro: 82%

POLYMARKET

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

82,8K €

Gadi Eizenkot: 52%

POLYMARKET

California Governor winner? (Person)

58,7K €

Steve Hilton: 4%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,138.36+1.04%

EthereumETH$1,896.58+0.26%

SolanaSOL$73.36-0.47%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0702-0.03%

XRPXRP$1.07+1.63%

BNBBNB$569.29-0.11%

Notizie Correlate

Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Regole

This list is fixed and no new strikes will be added.
A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office.
The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance.
Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify.
The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.