KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
$40 trillion 100%+0.4ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
181,4 €
Liquidità
33,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
16 lug 26, 20:45 UTC31 mar 29, 15:00 UTC
Trend
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US national debt surpass 42 trillion during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsPeak US National Debt before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
KalshiWill DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US National Debt exceed $47 Trillion by the end of FY 2030?
ForecastExRegole
If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:FRED
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 42.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 45 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 47.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 50 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 52.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 714,8K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-2.0pt13%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 295,4K €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 altri esiti
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration?
- Kalshi quota $40 trillion al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration?
- Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration dovrebbe risolversi il 31 marzo 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.