Probabilità implicita attuale
Reform UK 92%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
100 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
127,2K €
Liquidità
106,8K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
90.0% / 92.0%
Spread
2.2%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
7 lug 26, 14:451 set 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Reform UK92%
Confronta le piattaforme· Reform UK
Ordinato per volume 24h
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Clacton by-election Winner
11m
91%
50%
50%
+49 altri esiti
100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale309,3K €
Volume 24h309,3K €
POLYMARKET
Disponibile anche su Smarkets
Clacton By-Election - Winner
0%
14.7%
0%
+4 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquidità
Volume totale17,5K €
Volume 24h17,5K €
SMARKETSRegole
If Reform UK wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$145.2k7 lug2g di dati8 lug
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If Reform UK wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.