KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2030 69.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2030 69.5%Qualità del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
562,5 USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2030Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
13 lug 26, 17:30 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2030
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsDoes China have an ASML EUV machine? (as of June 19, 2026)
Manifold MarketsWill a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWill a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:SemaforABCBloombergNBCThe Washington PostAssociated PressThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsReutersThe InformationPoliticoAxiosMSNBCCNNthe New York TimesCBS
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states event claim occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.