Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 53.4%
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In ritardo20 set 24, 08:53 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill China obtain an EUV machine?
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Manifold MarketsXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
See the 2026 version by @Shump:
- @/Shump/will-china-have-a-commercial-domest
- Currently, the only company in the world which can produce those machines is the Dutch ASML.
- EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) machines are capable of producing incredibly small transistors of 3mm-5mm form factors.
- As such, they are critical in producing modern chips.
- ASML is prohibited from exporting EUV machines to China by US trade restrictions, which has prompted China to come up woth solutions to keep them in the chip game.