KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Yes, ≥1% · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Yes, ≥1% 22%In testa tra 8 esiti
Yes, ≥1% 22%Qualità del mercato
35 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
45,6 €
Open interest
8,9K €
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
Yes, ≥1%Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
22 set 26, 03:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Yes, ≥1%
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
KalshiCalifornia Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent
KalshiWill California Proposition 38 ($8.4B immunology research bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 42 (ban on new state personal property taxes) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 45 (faster CEQA environmental review) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 41 (tax limits and special-tax audits) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:California Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Yes minus the vote share received by the option that finishes immediately behind Yes if Yes wins, or the option that finishes first if Yes loses. If Yes wins, the margin will be positive; if Yes loses, the margin will be negative; if Yes ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Regole per ogni esito
- Yes, ≥1%
- If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yes, ≥4%
- If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yes, ≥7%
- If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yes, ≥16%
- If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yes, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yes, ≥13%
- If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yes, ≥22%
- If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 22%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yes, ≥19%
- If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 19%, then the market resolves to Yes.
