Will Trump impose capital controls?

Foreign ExchangeOne-OffUS Politics2a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 19%

Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

2,4K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

17.0% / 19.0%

Spread

11.8%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 14 minuti fa

21 feb 25, 15:0020 gen 29, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes19%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If the United States has imposed new capital controls in an attempt to limit capital from leaving the United States and going to any country (as opposed to on one specific country) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers.
Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.

Trend del volume

$10

6 lug3g di dati15 lug

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Will the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 164 on July 27, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?

17,6 €

Sì: 17%

FORECASTEX

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Regole

Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers.
Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.

Will Trump impose capital controls?

Foreign ExchangeOne-OffUS Politics2a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 19%

Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

2,4K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

17.0% / 19.0%

Spread

11.8%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 14 minuti fa

21 feb 25, 15:0020 gen 29, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes19%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers.
Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.

Trend del volume

$10

6 lug3g di dati15 lug

Mercati Correlati

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31,5 €

Sì: 22%

KALSHI

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POLYMARKET

Will Sweden adopt the Euro before 2032?

706,1 €

Sì: 15%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?

648,5 €

↓ 1.16: 100%

POLYMARKET

USD x Iranian rials End of July?

434,4 €

1.8-1.9M: 51%

POLYMARKET

Will the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 164 on July 27, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?

17,6 €

Sì: 17%

FORECASTEX

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,506.28+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,885.85+1.47%

SolanaSOL$74.94+1.38%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.99%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.51%

BNBBNB$570.45+0.87%

Notizie Correlate

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto News

Regole

Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers.
Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.