KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2028 45%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
14,6 €
Liquidità
22,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
20 lug 26, 23:30 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketWho will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Andy BurnhamThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Mercati aperti
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+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2028 al 45% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister??
- Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.