Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
PoliticaOne-OffScacchiElezioneSport1m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 22 ott 2026, 04:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jul 1, 2027 94%In testa tra 5 esiti
Before Jul 1, 2027 94%Qualità del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
0 USD
Open interest sconosciutoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
21 ott 26, 20:05 UTC1 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jul 1, 2027
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Gouvernement de la République françaisePrésidence de la Républiquethe Journal officiel de la République françaiseReutersthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Postthe New York TimesPoliticoCNNFox News
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A resignation tendered by Sébastien Lecornu counts when it is announced or tendered. This includes the resignation of the Government that Article 50 of the French Constitution requires after the Assemblée nationale adopts a motion of censure or withholds its confidence, and the customary resignation of the Government after a presidential election. It counts even if he continues to handle current affairs until a successor is named, and even if he is named Prime Minister again afterwards. The following do NOT resolve this market to YES: A statement that Sébastien Lecornu is not a candidate in the 2027 presidential election, or that governments customarily resign after a presidential election, unless it also says he will leave office. A motion of censure or a confidence vote that the Assemblée nationale does not adopt. A dissolution of the Assemblée nationale, on its own. A resignation that the President declines, so that the Government's functions do not end. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before May 1, 2027
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.