KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeSì 65%
Qualita del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,3K €
Liquidità
1,9K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.7%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
8 lug 26, 0:0015 gen 27, 14:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes65%
Mercati Correlati
Fed Decision in July?
2 Mln €No change: 77%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
108,6K €No change: 61%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
15,3K €No change: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Banxico interest rate decision in August
450,6 €Maintain the same rate: 90%FUTUUR
FUTUUREuropean Central Bank interest rate decision in July
377,8 €Maintain the same rate: 97%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
Jobs numbers in October 2026?
0 €Above -25,000: 79%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News
PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News
Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the US business applications are above 546,719 in any month during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this market, “U.S. business applications” refers to Business Applications: Total for All NAICS in the United States, FRED series BABATOTALSAUS.
- This series is reported monthly, seasonally adjusted, and sourced from the U.S.
- Census Bureau’s Business Formation Statistics.
- This market will use the first value published by Federal Reserve Economic Data for each relevant month.
- Revisions released after the first publication of a monthly value will not be considered.