KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Magnitude of at least 6.6 (96%)
Risolto: 24 ott 2026, 11:15
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 10:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Magnitude of at least 7.01%
Magnitude of at least 6.097%
Magnitude of at least 6.815%
Magnitude of at least 6.231%
Magnitude of at least 6.421%
Magnitude of at least 6.616%
Magnitude of at least 5.846%
Magnitude of at least 5.289%
Magnitude of at least 5.482%
Magnitude of at least 5.665%
Magnitude of at least 6.0Persa
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Persa
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.2Persa
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Persa
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Persa
Prima della chiusura: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Persa
Prima della chiusura: 97% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.4Persa
Prima della chiusura: 97% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.6Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 96% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.8Persa
Prima della chiusura: 95% ·
Magnitude of at least 7.0Persa
Prima della chiusura: 13% ·
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 25, 2026?
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KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KalshiRegole
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Regole per ogni esito
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.