PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoIn attesa di risoluzione verificata: 3
CoinRithm attende un regolamento confermato dal provider prima di trattare questo mercato come risolto.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 27 ott 2026, 22:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
0 0%-0.3ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
0 0%-0.3ptQualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
11,4K €
Liquidità
116,4K €
Alta liquiditàOpen interest
10,8K USD
Spread
3.5 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+93.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto16 ott 26, 14:23 UTC26 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Cronologia delle Probabilità
3100%
10%
20%
40%
50%
more than 50%
00%
10%
20%
40%
50%
more than 50%
3Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 98% ·
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
- This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
- If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.
