KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Magnitude of at least 5.6 29%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
238,7 €
Liquidità
187,9 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
7 set 26, 20:00 UTC8 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
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0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Kalshi9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRegole
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS.
- If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count.
- If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 232,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 186,1K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 66,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6K €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026??
- Kalshi quota Magnitude of at least 5.6 al 29% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026??
- What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 8 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.