KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
6.8+ 89%In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
78 €
Liquidità
5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
1 set 26, 18:45 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketWhat will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRegole
If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.8 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:USGS
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.9 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.0 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.1 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.2 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.3 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
- 32°C+69.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 154,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 148,6K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-7.0pt59%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 92,3K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 8?
- 19°C+54.0pt98%
- 20°C-31.0pt2%
- 16°C or below-0.2pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above63.8%
- 88° to 89°19.1%
- 86° to 87°13.3%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 84,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 79,3K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
- 25°C+94.5pt100%
- 19°C or below-3.0pt0%
- 20°C-6.0pt0%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
- 29°C+70.5pt100%
- 26°C or below-8.4pt0%
- 27°C-10.4pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 6.8+ al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026??
- How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.8 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.