KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%In testa tra 7 esiti
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%Qualità del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
88,9 €
Open interest
134 USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
16 ott 26, 16:08 UTC1 apr 27, 03:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Apr 1, 2027
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
KalshiEd Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiWill Scott Bessent leave the position of Secretary of Treasury by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho of Howard Lutnick and Scott Bessent will be fired first?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Scott BessentThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe Department of the Treasurythe White HouseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Being considered for or named to another position does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Scott Bessent will cease to be Secretary of the Treasury. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
