Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione1m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBefore Jan 1, 2027 32%
Qualita del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
18,5 €
Liquidità
1,2K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
9.0% / 14.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
4 giu 26, 20:001 set 26, 3:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before Sep 1, 202614%
Confronta le piattaforme· Before Jan 1, 2027
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 32% | — | 18,5 € | 1,2K € | 22 minuti fa | |
 PolymarketPiù attiva80% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 12% | — | 483,4 € | 2K € | 22 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by which date?
6.4 ptsChiusi
+6.4pt12%
-1.6pt0%
0%
36 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquidità
Volume totale358,6K €
Volume 24h483,4 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$218 lug13g di dati27 lug
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If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.