KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above -20bps 96%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
94 €
Liquidità
2,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
8 lug 26, 00:03 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Polymarket2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRegole
If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
- Please note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying.
- Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 282,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,2K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,1K €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 altri esiti
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026?
- Kalshi quota Above -20bps al 96% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026?
- 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.