GeminiKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 21 ago 2026, 18:10 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Mark Warner 95.5%
Qualita del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaBid / Ask
93.0% / 98.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoTraders
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
16 giu 26, 22:5510 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
95.5%
Regole
Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Virginia Senate election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If Mark Moran wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia, then this market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm Mark Warner 96% · 2 piattaforme · banda di 1 pt
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Virginia Senate Election Winner · Democrat 95%
- Disponibile anche su Smarkets — Virginia Senate Election Winner · Democrat 95%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Virginia Senate winner? · Mark Warner 95%
Mercati aperti
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
- 845,4K €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 591,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Virginia US Senate Winner?
- Gemini quota Mark Warner al 96% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Virginia US Senate Winner?
- Virginia US Senate Winner dovrebbe risolversi il 10 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Virginia US Senate Winner?
- Gemini liquida questo mercato come segue: Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia?
- Dove altro è quotato Virginia US Senate Winner?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket, Smarkets, Kalshi.