Will Brazil’s presidential election be decided in the first round?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneAmerica Latina
FutuurChiusoVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (95%)
Risolto: 5 ott 2026, 15:36
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 4 ott 2026, 13:29 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Trend
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the 2027 presidential French elections be decided at the first round?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Winner
Manifold Markets2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
Manifold MarketsWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
FutuurBrazil Presidential election winner?
KalshiRegole
This market predicts whether the 2026 Brazilian presidential election will be decided in the first round of voting scheduled for October 4, 2026.
- Under Brazilian electoral law, a candidate is elected President in the first round only if they receive more than 50% of the valid votes cast.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) for resolution will be the official election results published by Brazil’s Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE).
- If any candidate receives more than 50% of valid votes in the first round and is officially declared elected President by the TSE without a runoff election being required, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If official TSE publications are unavailable or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from credible Brazilian and international news organizations.