Probabilité implicite actuelle
No Overall Majority 59.9%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
10,5 €
Liquidité
521,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketAfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
PolymarketWho will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?
Manifold MarketsWill any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,8 M €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 598,4 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 425,6 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.4pt9.2%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,8 M €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+2.5pt25%
- October+1.5pt18%
- September 30,-0.1pt6%
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?