PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 18:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 77.2%
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,2 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
21.0% / 24.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
11
Variation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète10 févr. 26, 23:481 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 601,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 743,1 k €
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.0pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 55 M €
- Volume 24h
- 283,1 k €
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Trump out as President before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 77% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.