Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.9%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète20 août 25, 09:48 UTC20 août 27, 09:47 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolves YES if a reliable source reports that Trump wears a crown during his period as head of state (this may extend beyond his current term as president if he retains power).
- Resolves NO if Trump leaves office without wearing a crown.
- Update 2025-08-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Expansive definition: Includes crown-like headpieces (e.g., coronets).
- Excludes: Cheap costume or gimmick crowns.
- Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A proper replica of a real historical crown would count for resolution
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump Wear a Crown? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump Wear a Crown? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump Wear a Crown? doit être résolu le 20 août 2027.
- Comment Will Trump Wear a Crown? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if a reliable source reports that Trump wears a crown during his period as head of state (this may extend beyond his current term as president if he retains power).