PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 21:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 99%+5.4ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
24,4 k €
Liquidité
39,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-7.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard29 juil. 26, 23:311 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.