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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

3.5% (24h)Russia / UkraineOne-OffTech1mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
July 31
July 31 16%-4.5%
Qualite du marche

61 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

17,5 k €

Liquidité

9,8 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

9.0% / 11.0%

Spread

22.2%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes

5 juin 26, 22:4631 juil. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

July 3116%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.423665° N, 37.221521° E) located in Dorozhnie, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

Marchés Associés

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3,7 k €
July 31: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

1 k €
Oui: 12%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

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December 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

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Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

447 €
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Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Oui: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.423665° N, 37.221521° E) located in Dorozhnie, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.