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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

7.5% (24h)One-OffRussia / UkraineTech18j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
July 31
July 31 27%+5.0%
En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche

52 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

3,6 k €

Liquidité

9,3 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

16.0% / 18.0%

Spread

12.5%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-9.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

5 mai 26, 23:4830 juin 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
May 31
May 31
0%

Résultat choisi

July 3127%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Rodynske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.351463° N, 37.207979° E) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Rodynske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

Marchés Associés

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

7,1 k €
July 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

1 k €
Oui: 13%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

80,9 k €
December 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

446,9 €
Oui: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Oui: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,864.49+2.26%EthereumETH$1,657.62+1.62%SolanaSOL$65.26+1.54%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%BNBBNB$596.58+1.81%XRPXRP$1.12+0.47%

Actualités Associées

Google Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.NewsNvidia may power Apple’s biggest Siri upgrade after years of delayCrypto NewsRussia sanctions British teenager for alleging A7A5 use in funding Ukraine warCoindeskBig tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEOCoindeskModern robots impress, but are years away from replacing humansCointelegraphPeace talks eyed as 2027 deadline looms, markets edge NoBlockchain.News

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Rodynske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.351463° N, 37.207979° E) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Rodynske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.