Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 92%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
9,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
91.0% / 93.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
11
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
14 mai 26, 21:51 UTC27 sept. 26, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Maura Healey be reelected as Governor of Massachusetts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNational Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PolymarketFrench Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?
PolymarketSER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026.
- The newly constituted Senate will convene following these elections to elect its President.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gérard Larcher is reelected as President of the Senate (Président du Sénat) following the 2026 French Senate elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To count for resolution, Gérard Larcher must be formally elected as President of the Senate following the 2026 French Senate elections.
- Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
