PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 93%-1.1pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
8,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
5.7% / 8.4%
Écart
2.7 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
7 janv. 26, 21:02 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
KalshiWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWill RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave the Trump administration in 2026?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
- Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.