PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Alabama 38%En tête parmi 4 options
Alabama 38%Qualité du marché
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
12,6 k €
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
7 oct. 26, 13:56 UTC16 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that Isaias (NHC designation AL092026) made landfall in the listed state as a hurricane, by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The landfall must occur by that deadline; confirmation may arrive afterward.
- If Isaias makes more than one landfall, every listed state with a qualifying landfall will resolve to "Yes".
- Every market in this event may resolve to "No".
- A report means an explicit statement, in a Tropical Cyclone Update, Public Advisory (including intermediate and special advisories), or Discussion issued for Isaias, that the center made landfall or moved onshore.