PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 88.1%+3.0pt
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
25,4 €
Liquidité
2,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
11.0% / 12.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
1 juil. 26, 21:37 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
Kalshi¿El tratado de comercio T-MEC (USMCA) será sustituido con un tratado bilateral entre EE.UU. y México en 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
PolymarketVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketWill Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement.
- This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement.
- An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.
- The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 855,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 683,4 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Volume total
- 620,1 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 215,2 k €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour USMCA extended in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 88% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand USMCA extended in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- USMCA extended in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment USMCA extended in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.