PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 98%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
20,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.0% / 2.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
14 janv. 26, 15:5031 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes2%
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 98% | — | 0 € | 20,8 k € | il y a 26 minutes | |
 Manifold Markets90% de correspondance · auto | — | 96% | — | — | — | il y a 6 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
5mo
95.7%
4.3%
Prévision communautaire10 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$53 juil.12j de données21 juil.
Marchés Associés
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
42,2 k €August 31: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
22,1 k €Oui: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
14,5 k €Oui: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1 k €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill any US state secede before 2050?
658,8 €Oui: 21.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
454,2 €Oui: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military.