PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle800–900B 48%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
12,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.0% / 4.7%
Spread
56.7%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
26 févr. 26, 0:2728 févr. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
800–900B48%
Tendance du volume
$763 juil.9j de données20 juil.
Marchés Associés
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by which date?
0 €December 31: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
873,5 €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
136,1 €India: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
0 €~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 2026: 15%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
726,9 €5%+: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill the Strait of Malacca be blockaded anytime in the next 10 years?
0 €Oui: 20%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.
- International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.