PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle800–900B 39%+0.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
21 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.0% / 6.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-0.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
26 févr. 26, 0:3228 févr. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
800–900B39%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
US trade deficit for 2026?
8mo
2%
1%
1%
+9 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total100,5 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.
- International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Règles
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.
- International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.