US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
9.0% (24h)FedQuarterlyTrade PolicyUS PoliticsGéopolitiqueCentral Banks4j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle5%+ 95%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
823,6 €
Liquidité
5,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
68.0% / 74.0%
Spread
8.8%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
23 juil. 26, 22:0530 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
5%+95%
Comparer les plateformes· 5%+
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 95% | — | 823,6 € | 5,6 k € | il y a 18 minutes | |
 Kalshi90% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 92% | — | 18,5 € | 7,8 k € | il y a 18 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026
1.0%4j
92%
+1.0%71%
14%
+2 résultats de plus
44 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenneProche de la résolution
Volume total22,2 k €
Volume 24h18,5 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$93723 juil.4j de données26 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".