KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 5.6% 77%+6.0%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
10,4 €
Liquidité
385,5 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
70.0% / 77.0%
Spread
10.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
19 mai 26, 17:304 août 26, 12:29
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 5.6%77%
Tendance du volume
$128 juil.5j de données25 juil.
Marchés Associés
US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026
0 €Above 0.5%: 93%KALSHI
KALSHI
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
727 €5%+: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
44 €2023: 0.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
0 €Oui: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?
0 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
0 €Oui: 23.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
US inflation falls to 3.5% as Bitcoin rebounds toward $65KCrypto NewsRègles
If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.”
- Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q2 2026.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.