KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 10% 15%-5.0%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,3 €
Liquidité
48,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
15.0% / 24.0%
Spread
60.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
4 mai 26, 19:0030 juil. 26, 12:29
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Above 10%15%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
891,5 €Oui: 1%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
776,9 €June 30: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
477,7 €Oui: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
41,8 €Before 2027: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
5,9 €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
4,9 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 60%KALSHI
KALSHIRègles
If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 12.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.