US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?
Inflation
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes
Résolu: 11 janv. 2024, 15:45
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 147 jours
Obsolète12 déc. 23, 19:1311 janv. 24, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from November to December 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS November 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 11, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt33%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting34%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 116,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 11,4 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes56%
- No44%
- Volume total
- 6,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 10,8 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 120,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Monthly
- 0.4%42.2%
- 0.3%+3.0pt28.4%
- ≥0.5%-11.5pt10.8%
+6 résultats de plus
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
- CPI-U index in August
- US gasoline CPI for August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? ?
- Polymarket cote Yes à 100% au 31 mars 2026.
- Quand US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? doit être résolu le 11 janvier 2024.
- Comment US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.