PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 98%+0.9pt
Qualité du marché
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Liquidité
12,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.6% / 2.9%
Écart
1.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
16 sept. 26, 21:59 UTC8 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
September 2026 Trump-Xi Summit props (add options)
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KalshiRègles
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly endorses the People's Republic of China's claim of sovereignty over Taiwan by the end of this summit.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To qualify, Trump must make an explicit public statement affirming that Taiwan is part of China, that China has sovereignty over Taiwan, or that the United States supports China's claim to Taiwan.
- Restating the long-standing United States "One China policy", acknowledging that China holds such a position, noting that the United States does not support Taiwanese independence, or declining to say whether the United States would defend Taiwan will not qualify, as none of these constitutes an endorsement of China's claim.
- Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.