Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026
5.5 pts (24h)Latin AmericaOne-OffWeather5j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Colorado 99%+5.5ptEn tête parmi 40 options
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
7,3 k €
Liquidité
4,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
9.6 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
24 sept. 26, 13:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 29, 2026?
PolymarketPeak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
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KalshiWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for September: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote Colorado à 99% au 25 septembre 2026.
- Quand Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026 doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026.