PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Raquel Lyra 54.9%-7.5ptEn tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
75 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
3,5 k €
Liquidité
21,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+8.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
10 juil. 26, 01:31 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketPernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco
PolymarketBrazil Election 2026: Who will be elected Governor of Pernambuco (PB)?
Manifold MarketsAlabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent
KalshiMichigan 2026 governor election winner
Manifold MarketsRègles
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Pernambuco Governor winner? · João Campos 36%