KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Below 39.9% 66.7%En tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
81 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
189,3 k €
Liquidité
133 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
21 sept. 26, 14:01 UTC22 sept. 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 23?
PredictItPresidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketLos Angeles Mayor winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.0pt59.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt39.2%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 133,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 933,3 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt61%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-1.0pt8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 15,4 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.4pt4%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- 28,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 533,3 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.4%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 194,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Below 39.9% à 67% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? doit être résolu le 22 septembre 2026.
- Comment Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.