PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
$39 trillion 100%-0.1ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 nov. 25, 19:41 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
KalshiWill the US national debt be above $40 trillion by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US National Debt exceed $39 Trillion by the end of FY 2026?
ForecastExWill the US National Debt exceed $40 Trillion by the end of FY 2026?
ForecastExWill the US National Debt exceed $41 Trillion by the end of FY 2026?
ForecastExWill the US national debt surpass 42 trillion during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current).
- If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 282,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,2 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,1 k €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 k €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 résultats de plus
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Peak US National Debt before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote $39 trillion à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Peak US National Debt before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Peak US National Debt before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Peak US National Debt before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.