PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
El-Sayed 3-6% 20.6%-2.0ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
78,3 €
Liquidité
41,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
27.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+4.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
4 août 26, 18:25 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Michigan Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMichigan Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketMichigan Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketAbdul El Sayed vote percent in Oakland County for 2026 Michigan senate?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the Democratic Nominee for Michigan Senate, will they win?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The 2026 Michigan Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,9 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory ?
- Polymarket cote El-Sayed 3-6% à 21% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 Michigan Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.