PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
4.6M-4.8M 29.9%-8.8ptEn tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
481,9 €
Liquidité
68,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.5 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+4.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
18 août 26, 14:13 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Michigan Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMichigan Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketAbdul El Sayed vote percent in Oakland County for 2026 Michigan senate?
Manifold MarketsMichigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the Democratic Nominee for Michigan Senate, will they win?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,9 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Michigan Senate Election: Turnout ?
- Polymarket cote 4.6M-4.8M à 30% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Michigan Senate Election: Turnout sera-t-il résolu ?
- Michigan Senate Election: Turnout doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Michigan Senate Election: Turnout est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.