PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleDecember 31 30%+0.5%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,1 k €
Liquidité
46,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
4.5% / 7.4%
Spread
64.4%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+1.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
8 janv. 26, 23:5731 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
Résultat choisi
December 3130%
Marchés Associés
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
3,8 M €December 31: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
3,3 M €July 31: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
812,4 k €June 30: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6 k €Oui: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)
1,9 k €3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?
750,5 €Before July: 8%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.