FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 14%En tête parmi 3 options
December 31 14%Qualité du marché
25 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
20
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Iran Nuclear Deal be revived under Iran's new president Masoud Pezeshkian?
Manifold MarketsTrump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
PolymarketGianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026
KalshiRègles
This event predicts whether Masoud Pezeshkian will cease to hold the office of President of the Islamic Republic of Iran on or before the dates listed in the markets.
- For this event, “out of office” means that Masoud Pezeshkian no longer holds the position of President due to resignation, removal, impeachment, death, incapacity resulting in permanent replacement, or replacement through any other constitutional or political process recognized by Iranian authorities.
- Temporary absences from duty, delegation of presidential powers, or short-term incapacity do not qualify if he remains the official holder of the office.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or records from the Government of Iran confirming that another person has assumed the presidency or that Masoud Pezeshkian has formally left office.
- If official records are delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable international news organizations reporting that he has ceased to be President of Iran.
- Resolution will be based on the substantive status of the officeholder, not technicalities of announcement timing or wording.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Masoud Pezeshkian out by...? · December 31 8%