Ce marché s'est résolu: Andy Burnham (100%)
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelleAndy Burnham 100%+12.9ptEn tête parmi 33 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,4 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+23.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 38 jours
Obsolète14 mai 26, 23:5418 juin 26, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Andy Burnham100%
Rebecca Shepherd2%
Robert Kenyon0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Andy Burnham
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 100% | — | 4,4 k € | 0 € | il y a 38 jours | |
 KalshiLa plus active80% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 99% | — | 144,2 k € | 9,2 k € | il y a 39 jours | Ouvrir → |
 Smarkets80% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 90% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 39 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
Fermés
91.3%
8.4%
0.2%
14 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
Makerfield by-election winner?
Fermés
Résolu
Labour (99%)
+10.0pt95.2%
1%
-11.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
39 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité moyenne
Volume total1,1 M €
Volume 24h144,2 k €
KALSHIRègles
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
- If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
- If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).