Probabilité implicite actuelle
Restore Britain 1%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
467,7 €
Liquidité
3,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
16 mai 26, 11:301 janv. 28, 15:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Restore Britain1%
Également disponible sur Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
0.1%
82.6%
12.5%
+1 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETS
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
0.1%6j
+1.0%86%
-2.0%13%
-0.1%3%
+30 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total2,8 M €
Volume 24h147,9 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.