KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Labour (99%)
Résolu: 19 juin 2026, 03:28
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
Labour
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
89%
ConsensusProbabilité implicite actuelleLabour 95.2%+10.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
144,2 k €
Liquidité
9,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 38 jours
Obsolète16 mai 26, 11:301 janv. 28, 15:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Labour99%
Reform UK9%
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Labour
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global80% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 100% | — | 4,4 k € | 0 € | il y a 37 jours | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette pageLa plus active | Faible | 99% | — | 144,2 k € | 9,2 k € | il y a 38 jours | |
 Smarkets88% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 90% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 39 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
Fermés
91.3%
8.4%
0.2%
14 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
12.9 ptsFermés
Résolu
Andy Burnham (100%)
+12.9pt100%
0%
0%
+30 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total7,7 M €
Volume 24h4,4 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.