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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Makerfield by-election winner?
Makerfield by-election winner?

Makerfield by-election winner?

One-OffPolitiqueÉlection1a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Restore Britain
Restore Britain 1%
En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche

52 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

467,7 €

Liquidité

3,5 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

1.0% / 2.0%

Spread

100.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

16 mai 26, 11:301 janv. 28, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Restore Britain1%

SmarketsÉgalement disponible sur Smarkets

Smarkets

Makerfield By-Election - Winner

Smarkets
Green
0.1%
Smarkets
Labour
82.6%
Smarkets
Reform UK
12.5%

+1 résultats de plus

28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SmarketsSMARKETS

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

0.1%6j
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham
+1.0%86%
Robert Kenyon
Robert Kenyon
-2.0%13%
Rebecca Shepherd
Rebecca Shepherd
-0.1%3%

+30 résultats de plus

73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total2,8 M €
Volume 24h147,9 k €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

2,1 M €
Xavier Becerra: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

762,4 k €
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 45%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peru Presidential election winner?

Peru Presidential election winner?

9,8 k €
Roberto Sánchez: 4%KalshiKALSHI
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

5,3 k €
James Talarico: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%

Actualités Associées

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsPeru 2nd Round Bet Focus Narrows to Fujimori Narrow VictoryBlockchain.NewsBurnham Favored in Makerfield By-Election as Markets React to Rising OddsBlockchain.NewsCrypto PACs Shape Bets on Peru’s 2026 RaceBlockchain.NewsNew Defend Developers PAC targets key races with DeFi on the lineCrypto News

Règles

If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.